Makrognosis

United States NY Fed SCE: mean probability of missing a minimum debt payment in 3 months (%)

MonthlyNot seasonally adjustedCode US.SCE_DELINQ.M.NSA

Latest13.8%October 2026
Previous12.2%September 2026
Year ago13.1%October 2025

United States NY Fed SCE: mean probability of missing a minimum debt payment in 3 months (%) was 13.8% in October 2026, up 1.6 percentage points from September 2026 and up 0.7 percentage points from a year earlier.

Over the past ten years it has ranged from 9.2% (Feb 2022) to 16.1% (Apr 2020), averaging 12.0%.

United States NY Fed SCE: mean probability of missing a minimum debt payment in 3 months (%) (%), Jun 2013 – Oct 20268%10%12%14%16%18%2014201620182020202220242026Robomacro
United States NY Fed SCE: mean probability of missing a minimum debt payment in 3 months (%) (%), Jun 2013 – Oct 2026. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Survey of Consumer Expectations).

Showing the full history (downsampled for display). Open the interactive chart to zoom and switch transforms.

Recent data

PeriodValue
October 202613.8%
September 202612.2%
August 202613.2%
July 202612.0%
June 202610.8%
May 202612.6%
April 202611.4%
March 202612.3%
February 202611.6%
January 202613.7%
December 202515.3%
November 202513.7%
October 202513.1%
September 202512.6%
August 202513.1%
July 202512.3%
June 202512.0%
May 202513.4%
April 202513.9%
March 202513.6%
February 202514.6%
January 202513.3%
December 202414.2%
November 202413.2%

Last 24 observations. The full history (161 observations) is available through the API.

Get United States NY Fed SCE: mean probability of missing a minimum debt payment in 3 months (%) in your code or spreadsheet

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curl -H "X-API-Key: $MAKROGNOSIS_KEY" \
  "https://makrognosis.robomacro.com/v1/series/US.SCE_DELINQ.M.NSA"

# Python
import requests
r = requests.get("https://makrognosis.robomacro.com/v1/series/US.SCE_DELINQ.M.NSA",
                 headers={"X-API-Key": KEY})
obs = r.json()["observations"]
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About this series

Latest observationOctober 2026
First observationJune 2013
Observations161
FrequencyMonthly
Units%
AdjustmentNot seasonally adjusted
10-year high16.1% (Apr 2020)
10-year low9.2% (Feb 2022)
10-year average12.0%
Source agencyFederal Reserve Bank of New York (Survey of Consumer Expectations)
Makrognosis codeUS.SCE_DELINQ.M.NSA

Other United States indicators

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FAQ

What is the current nY Fed SCE: mean probability of missing a minimum debt payment in 3 months (%) in United States?
The latest reading is 13.8% for October 2026, published by Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Survey of Consumer Expectations).
Where does this data come from?
It is collected directly from Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Survey of Consumer Expectations) and is available through the Makrognosis API under the code US.SCE_DELINQ.M.NSA.

Last updated 2026-11-10. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Survey of Consumer Expectations). Original title: “NY Fed SCE: mean probability of missing a minimum debt payment in 3 months (%)”.