Makrognosis

United States Credit Rating & Sovereign Risk Score

Model scoreCode CREDIT:US

Model score87 / 1009 Nov 2026
Grade equivalentAA-model-implied
BandUpper investment grade0–100 scale, 100 = strongest
Rank15th of 84economies scored

Makrognosis sovereign credit model scores United States at 87 out of 100 as of 9 November 2026, equivalent to AA- on the familiar letter scale — upper investment grade.

The score is down 0.8 points from 88 on 1 October 2026.

That places United States 15th of the 84 economies the model scores; Russia has the highest score at 100.

Key inputs include government debt of 121.7% of GDP, a fiscal balance of −5.5% of GDP, a current account balance of −0.7% of GDP.

This is a model-implied assessment built from official macroeconomic data. It is not a credit rating issued by S&P, Moody's or Fitch, and agency ratings are not reproduced here.

United States sovereign credit score (0–100), 18 Jun 2026 – 9 Nov 2026707580859095Robomacro
United States sovereign credit score (0–100), 18 Jun 2026 – 9 Nov 2026. Source: Makrognosis sovereign credit model.

Score history

Assessment dateScoreGrade equivalent
9 November 202686.9AA-
1 October 202687.7AA
31 July 202687.7AA
30 July 202695.8AA+
26 July 202695.1AA+
21 June 202671.7A-
18 June 202675.3A
Get the United States sovereign risk score in your code

Score, grade equivalent and inputs for 84 economies. Free tier available.

curl -H "X-API-Key: $MAKROGNOSIS_KEY" \
  "https://makrognosis.robomacro.com/v1/credit/US"

# Python
import requests
r = requests.get("https://makrognosis.robomacro.com/v1/credit/US",
                 headers={"X-API-Key": KEY})
score = r.json()["headline"]["score_0_100"]
Get a free API key → · API docs

What drives the score

The model's published inputs for United States, from official national and international statistics.

InputValueVintage
GDP per capitaUS$96,2102026
Real GDP growth, 5-year average2.4%2026
Inflation, recent average3.2%2026
Government debt121.7% of GDP2026
Fiscal balance−5.5% of GDP2026
Current account balance−0.7% of GDP2026
Foreign-exchange reserves2.8 months of imports2026
Governance (World Bank WGI composite)0.9252026

How United States compares

#EconomyAs ofScore
1Russia9 Nov 2026100
2Turkey9 Nov 2026100
3Denmark9 Nov 202698
4Switzerland9 Nov 202696
5Netherlands9 Nov 202695
10Canada9 Nov 202691
11Australia9 Nov 202690
12Japan9 Nov 202689
13United Kingdom9 Nov 202688
14Finland9 Nov 202688
15United States9 Nov 202687
16New Zealand9 Nov 202685
17South Korea9 Nov 202685
18India9 Nov 202684
19Austria9 Nov 202683
20France9 Nov 202682
21Singapore9 Nov 202682

All 84 economies ranked →

United States economic indicators

United States GDP (Gross Domestic Product)United States Nominal GDP (SAAR)United States CPI-U, All Items (NSA)United States Inflation Rate (CPI)United States Core CPI (ex food & energy) (NSA)United States Core Inflation RateUnited States Unemployment RateUnited States Unemployment Rate (NSA)United States Industrial ProductionUnited States Retail SalesUnited States Producer Price Inflation (PPI)United States Current account balance, SAUnited States Current account balance, annualUnited States Trade Balance: Goods & ServicesUnited States Exports of Goods & Services (BOP basis)United States Exports of goods and services (SAAR)

FAQ

What is United States's credit rating?
Makrognosis sovereign credit model scores United States at 87/100 as of 9 November 2026, equivalent to AA- (upper investment grade). This is a model-implied assessment built from official macroeconomic data. It is not a credit rating issued by S&P, Moody's or Fitch, and agency ratings are not reproduced here.
How is the sovereign risk score calculated?
A statistical model scores each economy from published inputs — government debt and fiscal balance, current account and external debt, GDP per capita and growth, inflation, reserves and governance — on a 0–100 scale where 100 is the strongest credit. It is re-run as the inputs update.
Where can I get the data?
Through the Makrognosis API: GET /v1/credit/US returns the score history and inputs; /v1/credit/universe lists every economy.

This is a model-implied assessment built from official macroeconomic data. It is not a credit rating issued by S&P, Moody's or Fitch, and agency ratings are not reproduced here.

Last assessed 2026-11-09. Source: Makrognosis sovereign credit model.