Makrognosis

United States Cleveland Fed 1-Year Model Inflation Expectations

MonthlyNot seasonally adjustedCode US.CLEV_INFEXP1Y.M.NSA

Latest3.0%November 2026
Previous3.0%October 2026
Year ago2.7%November 2025

United States Cleveland Fed 1-Year Model Inflation Expectations was 3.0% in November 2026, up 0.06 percentage points from October 2026 and up 0.3 percentage points from a year earlier.

Over the past ten years it has ranged from −0.2% (May 2020) to 4.2% (Jun 2022), averaging 2.3%.

United States Cleveland Fed 1-Year Model Inflation Expectations (% (annualized, model-implied)), Jan 1982 – Nov 2026−2%0%2%4%6%1990200020102020Robomacro
United States Cleveland Fed 1-Year Model Inflation Expectations (% (annualized, model-implied)), Jan 1982 – Nov 2026. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

Showing the full history (downsampled for display). Open the interactive chart to zoom and switch transforms.

Recent data

PeriodValue
November 20263.0%
October 20263.0%
September 20262.7%
August 20262.4%
July 20262.4%
June 20263.0%
May 20263.5%
April 20263.3%
March 20262.3%
February 20262.6%
January 20262.6%
December 20253.2%
November 20252.7%
October 20252.7%
September 20252.8%
August 20252.7%
July 20252.8%
June 20252.4%
May 20252.7%
April 20252.9%
March 20252.2%
February 20252.7%
January 20252.6%
December 20242.7%

Last 24 observations. The full history (539 observations) is available through the API.

Get United States Cleveland Fed 1-Year Model Inflation Expectations in your code or spreadsheet

One guessable code, agency-direct, updated on release. Free tier available.

curl -H "X-API-Key: $MAKROGNOSIS_KEY" \
  "https://makrognosis.robomacro.com/v1/series/US.CLEV_INFEXP1Y.M.NSA"

# Python
import requests
r = requests.get("https://makrognosis.robomacro.com/v1/series/US.CLEV_INFEXP1Y.M.NSA",
                 headers={"X-API-Key": KEY})
obs = r.json()["observations"]
Get a free API key → · API docs

About this series

Latest observationNovember 2026
First observationJanuary 1982
Observations539
FrequencyMonthly
Units% (annualized, model-implied)
AdjustmentNot seasonally adjusted
10-year high4.2% (Jun 2022)
10-year low−0.2% (May 2020)
10-year average2.3%
Source agencyFederal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Makrognosis codeUS.CLEV_INFEXP1Y.M.NSA

Other United States indicators

United States GDP (Gross Domestic Product)United States Nominal GDP (SAAR)United States CPI-U, All Items (NSA)United States Inflation Rate (CPI)United States Core CPI (ex food & energy) (NSA)United States Core Inflation RateUnited States Unemployment RateUnited States Unemployment Rate (NSA)United States Credit Rating & Sovereign Risk ScoreUnited States Industrial ProductionUnited States Retail SalesUnited States Producer Price Inflation (PPI)United States Current account balance, SAUnited States Current account balance, annualUnited States Trade Balance: Goods & ServicesUnited States Exports of Goods & Services (BOP basis)

FAQ

What is the current cleveland Fed 1-Year Model Inflation Expectations in United States?
The latest reading is 3.0% for November 2026, published by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Where does this data come from?
It is collected directly from Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and is available through the Makrognosis API under the code US.CLEV_INFEXP1Y.M.NSA.

Last updated 2026-11-11. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Original title: “Cleveland Fed 1-Year Model Inflation Expectations”.