# United States NY Fed SCE: mean probability of losing one's job in the next 12 months (%)

United States NY Fed SCE: mean probability of losing one's job in the next 12 months (%) was 13.9% in October 2026, up 0.4 percentage points from September 2026 and down 0.09 percentage points from a year earlier.
Over the past ten years it has ranged from 10.8% (Feb 2022) to 20.9% (Apr 2020), averaging 13.8%.

- Source agency: Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Survey of Consumer Expectations)
- Makrognosis code: `US.SCE_JOBSEP.M.NSA`
- Frequency: monthly
- Units: %
- Coverage: 2013-06-01 to 2026-10-01 (161 observations)
- Page: https://makrognosis.robomacro.com/data/united-states/ny-fed-sce-mean-probability-of-losing-one-s-job-in-the-next-12-months

## Recent data

| Period | Value |
|---|---:|
| October 2026 | 13.9% |
| September 2026 | 13.5% |
| August 2026 | 13.8% |
| July 2026 | 14.2% |
| June 2026 | 14.1% |
| May 2026 | 15.1% |
| April 2026 | 14.6% |
| March 2026 | 14.4% |
| February 2026 | 13.8% |
| January 2026 | 14.8% |
| December 2025 | 15.2% |
| November 2025 | 13.8% |
| October 2025 | 14.0% |
| September 2025 | 14.9% |
| August 2025 | 14.5% |
| July 2025 | 14.4% |
| June 2025 | 14.0% |
| May 2025 | 14.8% |
| April 2025 | 15.3% |
| March 2025 | 15.7% |
| February 2025 | 14.1% |
| January 2025 | 14.2% |
| December 2024 | 11.9% |
| November 2024 | 13.5% |

## API

```
curl -H "X-API-Key: $MAKROGNOSIS_KEY" \
  "https://makrognosis.robomacro.com/v1/series/US.SCE_JOBSEP.M.NSA"

# Python
import requests
r = requests.get("https://makrognosis.robomacro.com/v1/series/US.SCE_JOBSEP.M.NSA",
                 headers={"X-API-Key": KEY})
obs = r.json()["observations"]
```